If you are aiming for promotion in the new year, this oneโs for you! While the Hunger Games popular film series has recently made a resurgence at the box office again, promotion through the police leadership ranksย can feel just as brutalย to candidates!ย
While promotion isnโt quite the same fight to the death, the competition is strong and youโll be pitted against many others in the promotion selection process. Skills and endurance are required to survive against the obstacles placed before you, and be the one who prevails in your district.
In the infamous words of President Snow, this blog explains how to keep the odds โever in your favourโ. Iโll be using lots of quotes along the way to emphasise the key points…
May the odds be ever in your favour…

โMay the odds be ever in your favour.โ – President Snow, The Hunger Games
If you aim to prevail in a promotion selection process youโll definitely be facing stiff competition. The brutality is summed up in President Snowโs morbid โwell wishesโ to the tributes who compete in the dystopian films from his Ivory Towers at the Capitol: โMay the odds be ever in your favour.โ
Many officers may feel their Chief Officer announcement of the โPromotion Gamesโ competition from HQ sounds just as ominous! Similar to The Hunger Games, the scary part for most is the competition.
Drew Carey hits the bullseye on why competition matters:
“Some people don’t like competition because it makes them work harder, better.”
A quick reality check reveals an extra 5,000 constablesย qualified for promotion to Sergeantย this year alone across England and Wales. Thatโs on top of Inspectors and all those who qualified previously and already in the eligible โpoolโ of officers. Thatโs hundreds of officers for each force, and several thousand in the Met Police. They earned their ticket by passed the National Police Promotion Framework (NPPF) Stage 2 Legal Exam, so can now enter โthe battleโ on behalf of their districts.
And get this, the College of Policingย have alsoย announced the exam datesย for 2024, whereby more cohorts will qualify for promotion. There’s now two opportunities for each rank:
- SERGEANT: 12-14 March and 1-3 October
- INSPECTOR: 12-16 May and 5-7 November
Thatโs aside from those in forces trialling theย new SIPP promotion process next year. If similar numbers are successful (and candidates now have two attempts each year at the exam), thousands more will take their seats in theย room with a queue.
From this point on, itโs a case ofย Act or Accept. If you accept, you start shufflingย slowly but surely towardsย the last chance saloon! Your five-year deadline to convert your exam pass is almost up, and youโre still sat there wondering how that ever happened. More importantly, the odds of promotion success are no longer in your favour. Ouch!

Take a moment, look around. Reflect. Thousands upon thousands of enthusiastic, determined, ambitious colleagues all keen to convert their leadership aspiration intoย substantive promotion. Thatโs an achievement in itself; getting to this point reflects discipline and focus… up to this point.
Paul โBearโ Bryant offers a reminder for us from this point onwards:
โItโs not the will to win that matters, everyone has that. Itโs the will to prepare to win that matters.โ
After all your effort to get that exam under your belt, ask yourself โdo I maintain traction and forward momentum?โ Because you are not home and dry yet, not by a long shot. But this is exactly the point many officers choose to rest on their laurels, bask in the glory of their hard-wonย exam success, thenย sit tight and wait for their in-force gamesย to be announced.
What you do from this point on affects the odds of your success in the next stage of a promotion selection process. Having the will to prepare to win matters more than ever from here on in. Following an intense period of study you may not be in a decision making or taking action mindset. So Amelia Earhartโs take on this might be helpful:
โThe most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity.โ
Odds are, youโve arrived at a key decision point. Mark time, take the exam win and procrastinate? After all you have 5 years before the final countdown!
Or do youย decide to act, dig in, maintain that momentum into the future you want?
Improvise. Adapt. Overcome

โBet on yourself. Tune out the noise.โ – Dr Julie Gurner
Inย coaching conversations, Iโve heard promotion boards described as feeling โlike you are on trialย for your life.โ Itโs powerful communication, alluding to uncertainty.
But itโs not actually the Hunger Games and no one dies in promotion selection processes. That said, there isย real competition,ย which adds some stress. But once you realiseย the only competition is yourself, you can improvise, adapt and overcome issues or limitations that might otherwise hold you back.
Hereโs that Drew Carey thought again, worth mentioning a second time:
ย โSome people don’t like competition because it makes them work harder, better.โ
There areย various iterationsย of promotion selection processes across forces at any one time. Thereโs also the perennialย Promotion Whinge Festย in UK policing too. These are the chosen games of the unsuccessful, frustrated andย sometimes angry cohorts.ย Theyโre willing to waste their precious time trumpeting whyย promotion is unfairย and are willing toย drag you down with themย if you listen.
โDonโt wish it was easier, wish you were better.โ – Jim Rohn
Wishing wonโt help, butย taking actionย improves the odds in your favour. It’s like carrying your own little mockingjay lucky charm with you into the ‘battlefield’…
Competition

โCompetition exists to choose who gets the prize when the prize canโt be shared.โ – Andrew Harvey
Promotion is aย competition. There, I said it! Itโs almost as if everyone in policing deliberately or unwittingly overlooks this fact. Andrew Harveyโs quote above alludes to another reality checkโฆYOU mustย raise your game.ย While completing the legal exam, you must hit a reasonable score benchmark and thatโs it. For the competitive process, you have to score wellย andย be ahead of others who have scored well.
75% of candidates are unsuccessful, so it can be and often seems brutal. Fromย paper siftsย to presentations,ย briefings andย interviewย panels, selection processes are all contrived. Whether Einstein ever said this or not, you get the message:
โYou have to learn the rules of the game. And then you have to play better than anyone else.โ
When promotion panels decide to promote some officers, not others,ย itโs not personal, itโs strictly business.ย Yet it can feel very personal indeed.
There is no Holy Grail of selection process, otherwise youโd know about it. So to enhance the odds of you succeeding, I encourage you toย start TODAYย on your own approach. Make 2024 productive from the outset. How will you improvise, adapt and overcome barriers to prevail and succeed in this career progression challenge?ย
Well, itโs something Rank Success can help you with. Iโve been where you are. Iโve also supported thousands of aspiring officers inย setting themselves apart, to succeed and overcome โdespite the oddsโ, and importantly, adopt an optimistic outlook as they do so. Why?
โPessimists calculate the odds. Optimists believe they can overcome themโ– Ted Koppel
One great question to ask yourself right now is โHow can I enhance my chances of success?โย Another isย โWhat works?โย Bothย are worth reflecting on andย thinkingย throughย properly as part of effective preparation.

Many newly promoted Sergeants, Inspectors and Chief Inspectors were once exactly where you are. The odds of success can be daunting, especially when the volume of candidates far exceeds positions available. Ergo, competition… especially in larger forces.
I encourage you as an aspiring officers toย completely ignore this. Itโs an irrelevance because thereโs nothing you can do about it! But thereโs lots you can do toย improve your odds. Aim to come first place for a startโ thatโs a whole mindset.
Odds On for Success…

With that in mind, hereโs a small snapshot of newly promoted customers who intentionallyย improved the odds in their favourย and were then kind enough to share their great news in their own words. You may pick up insights and/or reassurance from their experience to support your thinking, approach and decision making.
โI was successful in getting through my Inspector board 1st attempt. In fact,ย I scored maximum marks of 20/20 in my presentation/board,ย so it couldnโt have gone any better!ย A lot of very talented colleagues didnโt get through!โ – Jamie
โNews at last… 400 successful applicants through to assessment centre stage for 70 Sergeant vacancies & I was successful! Iโm delighted & relieved!โ- Ash
โI passed the College of Policing fast track process.ย Just 6 from my force passedโฆ from 165 original applicants!โ
โI passed the Ch Insp process joint highest score! Your content was invaluableโ- Phil
โAfter anย online assessment, an interview,ย presentationย and a briefing exercise, Iโve made the grade for promotion, waiting for my posting!โ- James, new Sergeant
โI bought your mega bundle and found out Iโd passed the Inspectors process.ย 41 successful candidates out of 215.ย I foundย your materialย invaluable, your Masterclass was just what I needed to get my interview structure spot on.โ – Neata
โOut of 124 PCโs to get to the interview stage, Iโm 1 of only 23 that got promoted!โ – Nick
โI applied for a temporary Detective Inspector post along with 20 highly qualified and experienced colleagues. This was a very competitive process but the preparation work I did resulted in me coming top!โ – Mike
โIt’s not really sunk in yet! Your digital guides were so helpful in understanding the process. I honestly couldn’t have done it without them. I was successful in my first board for promotion to Sergeant. This is no mean feat, competition was tough.โ โ Ian
This year the Chief Inspector boards were announced, I got the digital tool kits & prepped, the way you simplify things really helped me focus. I even re listened to your interview with Lee Freeman on the way to my board yesterday.ย ย I went in with my ENAMEL approach & I have been told today I passed!ย Only 3 passed from 31, thank you sincerelyโ – Hope
โJust wanted to let you know Iโve been successful in passing my Inspectors board. 54 applicants for 8 posts. Passed 1st time thanks to your Masterclass.โ – Ben
โToday I passed my Chief Inspector board (1st time)! I found most benefit in the masterclass video, Iโm grateful to you for giving clarity to a process, which is incredibly competitive & brutalโฆeven when you pass!” – Zoe
โOver 120 people applied for 12 Inspector jobs. I passed with flying colours! Thanks Steve.” – Mike
Suffice to say, all of the above had one thing in common: They all decided to invest in themselves and turbocharge their preparation withย tried, tested and structured materials. These close knowledge gaps, build confidence and support thinking for effective preparation.
Not only that, their investment is returned within their firstย new pay packet. The investment in their own leadership CPDย in this way is further reinforced, because the bespoke materials also help them understand, transition effectively into, and perform well in the new roleย whenย successful having committed to meaningful development.
What are the odds of that?
In possession of a well-earnedย exam pass, your next step is your โin forceโ selection process, or local Hunger Games if you like.ย Whatever tests this NPPF Step 3 puts you through, Allan Dare Pearce offers a thinking perspective:
โTests ain’t fair. Those that study have an unfair advantage. It’s always been that way.โ
Conan OโBrien offers another:
โI like being tested. I get as scared as anyone. But the feeling of putting yourself on the line, betting on your talent and having it work; thatโs the most exhilarating feeling in the world.โ
The future of promotion is apparently due to change, with the College of Policing trialling a new Sergeant and Inspector Promotion and Progressionย process (SIPP) from 2024. However, this is a proposal only and relates to a small number of pilot forces. Any changes if agreed, will not be implemented more widely forย another few years. Either way, now is the time to prepare.
A Winning Mindset for 2024?

So, given the odds, will you bet on yourself? Letโs call that aย mindset. Itโs one way to take control of your life and create the future you want. It does require confidence, risk-taking, and overcoming any fear of failure. But itโs worth it, because this leads to personal growth, empowerment, and of course thereโs the salary increase and pay progressionย to help in this cost-of-living crisis.
You may have to fight to prevail in your local force Hunger Games, or indeed theย Fast Trackย games, but Sun Tzu offers wisdom on this inย Theย Art of War:
“Every battle is won or lost before it’s ever foughtโ.
This implies information is never 100% certain and decisions can never be made on precise calculations; whichย all sounds a bit likeย going for promotion!
Sun Tzu also said that โIntelligence or the lack of it, determines the probability of success.โ
Thereโs no lack ofย intelligence briefingsย or detailedย information resourcesย at Rank Success. Itโs like having your very own โsponsorsโ in your corner and giving you an unfair advantage to help defeat the competition.
On that note,ย Iโll bid you farewell and now you know how, leave you with the thought to โMAKEย the odds be ever in your favourโ for 2024!
Kind Regards, Steve
Want to go further right now? Hit the ground runningย with your promotion preparation. Get your personalย digital promotion toolkit, and/or myย Police Promotion Masterclass. You can also contact me to arrangeย personal coaching support. If you first want to explore completely free content, I have a collection ofย videos,ย eGuides,ย a podcast.
